Economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Stock Market Uncertainty and the Analysis of Monetary Policy shock
Policy makers impose policies to improve economy circumstance in order to achieve economic goals. However, the consequence of these policies along with the intended goals will also influence expectations, fluctuations, etc., and cause changes in levels of uncertainty. The important role of the stock market in the economy, makes it important to examine its uncertainty and its interaction with mo...
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In this paper we examine the link between stock market uncertainty and monetary policy in the US. There are strong arguments why central banks should account for stock market uncertainty in their strategy. Amongst others, they can maintain the functioning of financial markets and moderate possible economic downswings. To describe the behavior of the Federal Reserve Bank, augmented forward-looki...
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We document that fear about misspecified economic and central bank policies explain 45% of variations in bond option implied volatilities and interest rate volatilities. We endogenize this empirical pattern with a parsimonious equilibrium asset pricing model. In equilibrium, volatility is endogenously driven by fear of not knowing the data generating process that drives future economic and futu...
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This paper investigates empirically the effect of volatility of the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar vis-à-vis the euro on U.S. stock market volatility while controlling for a number of drivers of stock return volatility. Using a GARCH(1, 1) model and using weekly data covering the period from the week of January 1, 1999 through the week of January 25, 2010, it is found that the 9/11 terrorist ...
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One of the most prominent features of the U.S. stock market is the close connection between aggregate stock market volatility and the development of the business cycle. Figure 1 depicts the statistical relation between stock market volatility and the industrial production growth rate over the last sixty years, which shows that stock volatility is largely countercyclical, being larger in bad tim...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Finance Research Letters
سال: 2015
ISSN: 1544-6123
DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.08.009